Meanwhile, Gary Marcus, founder of Robust.AI and author of Rebooting AI, contributed to the debate on his new substack, with his first post dedicated to discussing current efforts to develop AGI (including Gato AI), which he calls “old intelligence”. (6) Therefore, we cannot predict how long it will take to achieve HLAI.” Current AGI efforts as “alternative intelligence” (5) but we do not know how many such new concepts are needed. (4) some of these new concepts may be “around the corner” (e.g. (3) we are still missing some basic concepts It is necessary but not sufficient because…. (1) The research community is making some progress toward HLAI Reaching “Human Level AI” might be a useful goal, but humans are specialized too. “Regarding the heated debate about the significance of recent advances in AI, it may be useful to (re)state some obvious facts: Yann LeCun, the French computer scientist and senior AI scientist at Meta, had this to say (on Facebook, of course): Many experts dismiss the claims of De Freitas and those of others who insist AGI or an equivalent is on hand. Or as he continued to write Twitter, “It’s all about scaling now! It’s about making these models bigger, more secure, more computationally efficient, faster at sampling, smarter storage, more modalities, innovative data, online/offline… Solving these challenges is what AGI will deliver.” Pushback to AGI and scaling Last Friday, Nando De Freitas, a senior researcher at Google’s AI division DeepMind, tweeted that “Game’s Over!” in the decades-long search for AGI after DeepMind unveiled its new Gato AI, capable of handling complex tasks ranging from stacking blocks to writing poetry.Īccording to De Freitas, the Gato AI simply needs to be scaled up to create an AI that can compete with human intelligence. That is wishful thinking… the time to prepare is now.” DeepMind says game over for AGIĬoincidentally, the past week has been filled with claims, counterclaims, and criticism of claims surrounding the potential for AGI to materialize in the near future. That’s because too many of us mistakenly believe that a sentient AI created by mankind will somehow be a branch of the human tree, like a digital descendant that shares a very human core. No one knows what it will look like, but it will share two key traits with us humans – it will be intelligent and confident.”īut a more in-depth read reveals Rosenberg’s focus on some of today’s hottest AI debates, including the potential for AGI in our lives and why organizations need to prepare with AI ethics: “…while there are serious efforts in the AI community, on to push safe technologies, there is also a lack of urgency. Some experts predict it will be here within 30 years, while others insist it will arrive much sooner. If I had to guess, a rational and logical guess, I would say 60 to 75 years it’s going to happen.Written by Unanimous AI founder Louis Rosenberg, the column was certainly spurred not only by its SEO-friendly title but also by its breathless opening: “An alien species is on its way to planet Earth, and we have no reason to assuming she will be kind. "I don’t think we are talking about thousands or even hundreds of years. "All our science fiction films about alien encounters will come true. Last month he wrote on his socials, "They will probably land on the White House lawn or somewhere." It's not the first time Uri has stated that aliens are preparing to make contact. "And it’s really quite close to us - about 4,000 light years away. "It was kind of spooky for an astronomer because there’s nothing known in the sky that does that. "This object was appearing and disappearing over a few hours during our observations." said Astrophysicist Dr Natasha Hurley-Walker, A post shared by Uri Geller to The Mirror, the new phenomenon is something unknown to scientists who think it could be a neutron star or white dwarf.
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